Match Analysis

AnguillavsAruba

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
5%
92%
Anguilla winDrawAruba win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game2.00
0.53Avg goals scored2.04
3.22Avg goals conceded1.35
0–0–5Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Anguilla xG

Expected goals

3.9

Aruba xG

39%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

12%

0–4

12%

0–2

9%

0–5

9%

1–3

6%

1–4

6%

Home

Anguilla

Anguilla

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

0.5 / 3.2

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Away

Aruba

Aruba

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Anguilla vs Aruba?

Aruba is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Anguilla's current form?

Anguilla have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Anguilla Win3%
Draw5%
Aruba Win92%
BTTS39%
Over 2.581%