Match Analysis

VillarrealvsNapoli

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

89%
8%
3%
Villarreal winDrawNapoli win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.60
2.64Avg goals scored0.64
1.72Avg goals conceded2.28
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.4

Villarreal xG

Expected goals

0.5

Napoli xG

38%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

13%

2–0

12%

4–0

11%

5–0

8%

1–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Villarreal

Villarreal

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.6 / 1.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Napoli

Napoli

DLWDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.6 / 2.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Villarreal vs Napoli?

Villarreal is favored with a 89% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Villarreal's current form?

Villarreal have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Villarreal Win89%
Draw8%
Napoli Win3%
BTTS38%
Over 2.575%