Shakhtar Donetskvs
Sporting CP
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.5
Shakhtar Donetsk xG
Expected goals
1.2
Sporting CP xG
27%
Both Teams to Score
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
22%
0–0
18%
0–2
13%
1–1
11%
1–0
9%
1–2
7%
Home
Shakhtar Donetsk
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.0
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Away
Sporting CP
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.4 / 0.4
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
Sporting CP is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Shakhtar Donetsk's current form?
Shakhtar Donetsk have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 27%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Champions League