Match Analysis

Shakhtar DonetskvsFenerbahce

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

94%
3%
3%
Shakhtar Donetsk winDrawFenerbahce win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.60
2.28Avg goals scored0.36
1.00Avg goals conceded4.21
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

Expected goals

0.3

Fenerbahce xG

25%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

14%

4–0

14%

5–0

12%

2–0

11%

1–0

5%

3–1

4%

Home

Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk

DDLLD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.0

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Fenerbahce

Fenerbahce

LWWDD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.4 / 4.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahce?

Shakhtar Donetsk is favored with a 94% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Shakhtar Donetsk's current form?

Shakhtar Donetsk have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Shakhtar Donetsk Win94%
Draw3%
Fenerbahce Win3%
BTTS25%
Over 2.580%