Shakhtar Donetskvs
AEK Athens
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.5
Shakhtar Donetsk xG
Expected goals
0.5
AEK Athens xG
36%
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
16%
3–0
13%
1–0
12%
2–1
8%
4–0
8%
1–1
6%
Home
Shakhtar Donetsk
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.0
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Away
AEK Athens
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.9
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens?
Shakhtar Donetsk is favored with a 81% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Shakhtar Donetsk's current form?
Shakhtar Donetsk have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 36%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Champions League