Match Analysis

Shakhtar DonetskvsAEK Athens

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

81%
14%
5%
Shakhtar Donetsk winDrawAEK Athens win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game2.20
2.28Avg goals scored1.00
1.00Avg goals conceded1.94
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

Expected goals

0.5

AEK Athens xG

36%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

16%

3–0

13%

1–0

12%

2–1

8%

4–0

8%

1–1

6%

Home

Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk

DDLLD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.0

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

AEK Athens

AEK Athens

DWWDW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.9

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens?

Shakhtar Donetsk is favored with a 81% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Shakhtar Donetsk's current form?

Shakhtar Donetsk have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 36%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Shakhtar Donetsk Win81%
Draw14%
AEK Athens Win5%
BTTS36%
Over 2.558%