Real Madridvs
PSV Eindhoven
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.9
Real Madrid xG
Expected goals
0.4
PSV Eindhoven xG
28%
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
19%
2–0
18%
3–0
11%
0–0
10%
1–1
8%
2–1
7%
Home
Real Madrid
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
3.3 / 2.3
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
PSV Eindhoven
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
0.4 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven?
Real Madrid is favored with a 73% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Real Madrid's current form?
Real Madrid have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (19% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 28%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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