Match Analysis

RB LeipzigvsLens

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
31%
26%
RB Leipzig winDrawLens win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.00
1.00Avg goals scored1.11
1.46Avg goals conceded2.00
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

RB Leipzig xG

Expected goals

0.8

Lens xG

37%

Both Teams to Score

30%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

16%

0–0

15%

1–1

13%

0–1

12%

2–0

9%

2–1

7%

Home

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Lens

Lens

DLWLD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win RB Leipzig vs Lens?

RB Leipzig is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is RB Leipzig's current form?

RB Leipzig have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

RB Leipzig Win43%
Draw31%
Lens Win26%
BTTS37%
Over 2.530%