Match Analysis

Paris Saint-GermainvsAS Roma

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

75%
12%
13%
Paris Saint-Germain winDrawAS Roma win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.40
4.72Avg goals scored2.28
1.64Avg goals conceded2.93
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)1–4–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Paris Saint-Germain xG

Expected goals

1.8

AS Roma xG

82%

Both Teams to Score

93%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–1

6%

4–1

6%

3–2

5%

4–2

5%

5–1

5%

2–1

4%

Home

Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

4.7 / 1.6

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

AS Roma

AS Roma

DDDWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.3 / 2.9

Last 5

1W 4D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Paris Saint-Germain vs AS Roma?

Paris Saint-Germain is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Paris Saint-Germain's current form?

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 82%. Over 2.5 goals: 93%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Paris Saint-Germain Win75%
Draw12%
AS Roma Win13%
BTTS82%
Over 2.593%