Match Analysis

NapolivsBodo/Glimt

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
39%
32%
Napoli winDrawBodo/Glimt win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.40
0.64Avg goals scored0.64
2.28Avg goals conceded1.81
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.7

Napoli xG

Expected goals

0.7

Bodo/Glimt xG

25%

Both Teams to Score

17%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

25%

0–1

17%

1–0

17%

1–1

12%

0–2

6%

2–0

6%

Home

Napoli

Napoli

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.6 / 2.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?

Bodo/Glimt is favored with a 32% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Napoli's current form?

Napoli have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (25% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 17%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Napoli Win29%
Draw39%
Bodo/Glimt Win32%
BTTS25%
Over 2.517%