Manchester Cityvs
Paris Saint-Germain
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.8
Manchester City xG
Expected goals
4
Paris Saint-Germain xG
82%
Both Teams to Score
93%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–3
6%
1–4
6%
1–5
5%
2–3
5%
2–4
5%
1–2
4%
Home
Manchester City
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.0 / 2.6
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Paris Saint-Germain
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
4.7 / 1.6
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain?
Paris Saint-Germain is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester City's current form?
Manchester City have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 82%. Over 2.5 goals: 93%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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