Manchester Cityvs
Napoli
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.6
Manchester City xG
Expected goals
0.8
Napoli xG
51%
Both Teams to Score
66%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
11%
3–0
10%
1–0
9%
2–1
9%
3–1
8%
1–1
7%
Home
Manchester City
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.0 / 2.6
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Napoli
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
0.6 / 2.3
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester City vs Napoli?
Manchester City is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester City's current form?
Manchester City have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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