Match Analysis

Manchester CityvsNapoli

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

75%
15%
10%
Manchester City winDrawNapoli win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.60
2.00Avg goals scored0.64
2.58Avg goals conceded2.28
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Manchester City xG

Expected goals

0.8

Napoli xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

11%

3–0

10%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

3–1

8%

1–1

7%

Home

Manchester City

Manchester City

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.6

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Napoli

Napoli

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.6 / 2.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Manchester City vs Napoli?

Manchester City is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Manchester City's current form?

Manchester City have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Manchester City Win75%
Draw15%
Napoli Win10%
BTTS51%
Over 2.566%