Match Analysis

Manchester CityvsAEK Athens

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

58%
20%
22%
Manchester City winDrawAEK Athens win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.20
2.00Avg goals scored1.00
2.58Avg goals conceded1.94
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Manchester City xG

Expected goals

1.3

AEK Athens xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

10%

1–1

9%

1–0

7%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

Home

Manchester City

Manchester City

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.6

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

AEK Athens

AEK Athens

DWWDW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.9

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Manchester City vs AEK Athens?

Manchester City is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Manchester City's current form?

Manchester City have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Manchester City Win58%
Draw20%
AEK Athens Win22%
BTTS65%
Over 2.568%