Liverpoolvs
Villarreal
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
Liverpool xG
Expected goals
3
Villarreal xG
93%
Both Teams to Score
97%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–2
4%
3–3
4%
4–2
4%
4–3
4%
5–2
4%
5–3
4%
Home
Liverpool
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
4.6 / 2.3
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Villarreal
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.6 / 1.7
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Liverpool vs Villarreal?
Liverpool is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Liverpool's current form?
Liverpool have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–2 (4% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 93%. Over 2.5 goals: 97%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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