Match Analysis

LiverpoolvsFC Porto

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

81%
10%
9%
Liverpool winDrawFC Porto win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.00
4.57Avg goals scored1.29
2.28Avg goals conceded2.65
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Liverpool xG

Expected goals

1.4

FC Porto xG

74%

Both Teams to Score

91%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–1

7%

4–1

7%

2–1

5%

3–0

5%

3–2

5%

4–0

5%

Home

Liverpool

Liverpool

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

4.6 / 2.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

FC Porto

FC Porto

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.6

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Liverpool vs FC Porto?

Liverpool is favored with a 81% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Liverpool's current form?

Liverpool have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 91%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Liverpool Win81%
Draw10%
FC Porto Win9%
BTTS74%
Over 2.591%