Match Analysis

LillevsGalatasaray

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
25%
37%
Lille winDrawGalatasaray win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
0.72Avg goals scored1.00
3.00Avg goals conceded3.64
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Lille xG

Expected goals

1.5

Galatasaray xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Lille

Lille

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.7 / 3.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Galatasaray

Galatasaray

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lille vs Galatasaray?

Lille is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lille's current form?

Lille have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lille Win38%
Draw25%
Galatasaray Win37%
BTTS60%
Over 2.558%