Match Analysis

LillevsBayern Munich

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
6%
91%
Lille winDrawBayern Munich win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.20
0.72Avg goals scored3.73
3.00Avg goals conceded1.90
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Lille xG

Expected goals

4

Bayern Munich xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

86%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

9%

0–4

9%

0–2

7%

0–5

7%

1–3

7%

1–4

7%

Home

Lille

Lille

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.7 / 3.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

3.7 / 1.9

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lille vs Bayern Munich?

Bayern Munich is favored with a 91% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lille's current form?

Lille have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lille Win3%
Draw6%
Bayern Munich Win91%
BTTS54%
Over 2.586%