Lillevs
Bayern Munich
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Lille xG
Expected goals
4
Bayern Munich xG
54%
Both Teams to Score
86%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
9%
0–4
9%
0–2
7%
0–5
7%
1–3
7%
1–4
7%
Home
Lille
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.7 / 3.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Bayern Munich
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
3.7 / 1.9
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lille vs Bayern Munich?
Bayern Munich is favored with a 91% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lille's current form?
Lille have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Champions League