Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.3
Lens xG
Expected goals
2.3
Sporting CP xG
23%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
20%
0–1
17%
0–3
15%
0–4
9%
0–0
7%
1–2
6%
Home
Lens
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.1 / 2.0
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Sporting CP
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.4 / 0.4
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lens vs Sporting CP?
Sporting CP is favored with a 83% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lens's current form?
Lens have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 23%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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