Match Analysis

LensvsManchester City

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

32%
22%
46%
Lens winDrawManchester City win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.00
1.10Avg goals scored2.00
2.00Avg goals conceded2.58
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Lens xG

Expected goals

2

Manchester City xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

9%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

6%

0–1

5%

Home

Lens

Lens

DLWLD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Manchester City

Manchester City

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.6

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lens vs Manchester City?

Manchester City is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lens's current form?

Lens have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lens Win32%
Draw22%
Manchester City Win46%
BTTS69%
Over 2.570%