Match Analysis

LensvsComo

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

18%
17%
65%
Lens winDrawComo win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
1.10Avg goals scored2.72
2.00Avg goals conceded2.28
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Lens xG

Expected goals

2.7

Como xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

1–3

8%

0–2

6%

1–1

6%

2–2

6%

0–3

5%

Home

Lens

Lens

DLWLD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Como

Como

DDLWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.7 / 2.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lens vs Como?

Como is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lens's current form?

Lens have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lens Win18%
Draw17%
Como Win65%
BTTS70%
Over 2.578%