Match Analysis

InternazionalevsShakhtar Donetsk

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

9%
11%
80%
Internazionale winDrawShakhtar Donetsk win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.60
2.28Avg goals scored2.28
3.28Avg goals conceded1.00
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Internazionale xG

Expected goals

3.7

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

71%

Both Teams to Score

88%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–3

7%

1–4

7%

0–3

6%

1–2

6%

0–2

5%

0–4

5%

Home

Internazionale

Internazionale

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 3.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk

DDLLD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.0

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Internazionale vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Shakhtar Donetsk is favored with a 80% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Internazionale's current form?

Internazionale have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Internazionale Win9%
Draw11%
Shakhtar Donetsk Win80%
BTTS71%
Over 2.588%