Match Analysis

InternazionalevsLiverpool

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

28%
14%
58%
Internazionale winDrawLiverpool win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
2.28Avg goals scored4.57
3.28Avg goals conceded2.28
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.9

Internazionale xG

Expected goals

4

Liverpool xG

93%

Both Teams to Score

97%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–3

5%

2–4

5%

2–5

4%

3–3

4%

3–4

4%

1–3

3%

Home

Internazionale

Internazionale

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 3.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

4.6 / 2.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Internazionale vs Liverpool?

Liverpool is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Internazionale's current form?

Internazionale have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–3 (5% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 93%. Over 2.5 goals: 97%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Internazionale Win28%
Draw14%
Liverpool Win58%
BTTS93%
Over 2.597%