Match Analysis

GalatasarayvsBarcelona

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
5%
92%
Galatasaray winDrawBarcelona win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.60
1.00Avg goals scored4.36
3.64Avg goals conceded1.00
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Galatasaray xG

Expected goals

4

Barcelona xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

84%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

11%

0–4

11%

0–5

9%

0–2

8%

1–3

6%

1–4

6%

Home

Galatasaray

Galatasaray

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Barcelona

Barcelona

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

4.4 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Galatasaray vs Barcelona?

Barcelona is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Galatasaray's current form?

Galatasaray have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Galatasaray Win3%
Draw5%
Barcelona Win92%
BTTS44%
Over 2.584%