Match Analysis

FenerbahcevsVillarreal

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
4%
93%
Fenerbahce winDrawVillarreal win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.40
0.36Avg goals scored2.64
4.21Avg goals conceded1.72
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Fenerbahce xG

Expected goals

4

Villarreal xG

25%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

14%

0–4

14%

0–5

12%

0–2

11%

0–1

5%

1–3

4%

Home

Fenerbahce

Fenerbahce

LWWDD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.4 / 4.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Villarreal

Villarreal

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.6 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fenerbahce vs Villarreal?

Villarreal is favored with a 93% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fenerbahce's current form?

Fenerbahce have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fenerbahce Win3%
Draw4%
Villarreal Win93%
BTTS25%
Over 2.580%