Match Analysis

FenerbahcevsLiverpool

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
4%
93%
Fenerbahce winDrawLiverpool win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
0.36Avg goals scored4.57
4.19Avg goals conceded2.28
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Fenerbahce xG

Expected goals

4

Liverpool xG

39%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

12%

0–4

12%

0–2

9%

0–5

9%

1–3

6%

1–4

6%

Home

Fenerbahce

Fenerbahce

LWWDD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.4 / 4.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

4.6 / 2.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fenerbahce vs Liverpool?

Liverpool is favored with a 93% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fenerbahce's current form?

Fenerbahce have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fenerbahce Win3%
Draw4%
Liverpool Win93%
BTTS39%
Over 2.583%