Match Analysis

FC PortovsPSV Eindhoven

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
41%
22%
FC Porto winDrawPSV Eindhoven win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.60
1.29Avg goals scored0.37
2.65Avg goals conceded1.00
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.7

FC Porto xG

Expected goals

0.5

PSV Eindhoven xG

20%

Both Teams to Score

12%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

30%

1–0

21%

0–1

15%

1–1

11%

2–0

7%

0–2

4%

Home

FC Porto

FC Porto

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.6

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.4 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

FC Porto is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is FC Porto's current form?

FC Porto have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (30% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 20%. Over 2.5 goals: 12%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

FC Porto Win37%
Draw41%
PSV Eindhoven Win22%
BTTS20%
Over 2.512%