Match Analysis

FC PortovsNapoli

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

57%
24%
19%
FC Porto winDrawNapoli win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.60
1.29Avg goals scored0.64
2.65Avg goals conceded2.28
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

FC Porto xG

Expected goals

0.8

Napoli xG

45%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

14%

2–0

12%

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

0–0

8%

0–1

7%

Home

FC Porto

FC Porto

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.6

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Napoli

Napoli

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.6 / 2.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win FC Porto vs Napoli?

FC Porto is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is FC Porto's current form?

FC Porto have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

FC Porto Win57%
Draw24%
Napoli Win19%
BTTS45%
Over 2.546%