Match Analysis

Bayern MunichvsArsenal

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

71%
13%
16%
Bayern Munich winDrawArsenal win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game2.00
3.73Avg goals scored2.28
1.90Avg goals conceded0.00
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Bayern Munich xG

Expected goals

2.1

Arsenal xG

86%

Both Teams to Score

94%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–1

5%

3–2

5%

4–1

5%

4–2

5%

2–1

4%

2–2

4%

Home

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

3.7 / 1.9

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Arsenal

Arsenal

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bayern Munich vs Arsenal?

Bayern Munich is favored with a 71% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bayern Munich's current form?

Bayern Munich have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (5% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 86%. Over 2.5 goals: 94%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bayern Munich Win71%
Draw13%
Arsenal Win16%
BTTS86%
Over 2.594%