Barcelonavs
Manchester City
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
Barcelona xG
Expected goals
1
Manchester City xG
62%
Both Teams to Score
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
7%
3–1
7%
4–0
7%
4–1
7%
5–0
6%
5–1
6%
Home
Barcelona
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
4.4 / 1.0
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Manchester City
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.0 / 2.6
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Barcelona vs Manchester City?
Barcelona is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Barcelona's current form?
Barcelona have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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