Barcelonavs
Aston Villa
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Barcelona xG
Expected goals
2.4
Aston Villa xG
74%
Both Teams to Score
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
8%
1–1
7%
2–2
7%
1–3
6%
2–1
6%
2–3
6%
Home
Barcelona
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
4.4 / 1.0
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Aston Villa
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
4.9 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Barcelona vs Aston Villa?
Aston Villa is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Barcelona's current form?
Barcelona have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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