Atlético Madridvs
Manchester United
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Atlético Madrid xG
Expected goals
0.5
Manchester United xG
27%
Both Teams to Score
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
22%
0–0
18%
2–0
13%
1–1
11%
0–1
9%
2–1
7%
Home
Atlético Madrid
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
1.6 / 0.7
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Manchester United
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.3
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United?
Atlético Madrid is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Atlético Madrid's current form?
Atlético Madrid have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 27%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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