Match Analysis

Aston VillavsFenerbahce

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

94%
3%
3%
Aston Villa winDrawFenerbahce win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.60
4.94Avg goals scored0.36
0.71Avg goals conceded4.19
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Aston Villa xG

Expected goals

0.3

Fenerbahce xG

25%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

14%

4–0

14%

5–0

12%

2–0

11%

1–0

5%

3–1

4%

Home

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

DWDWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

4.9 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Fenerbahce

Fenerbahce

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.4 / 4.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce?

Aston Villa is favored with a 94% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Aston Villa's current form?

Aston Villa have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Aston Villa Win94%
Draw3%
Fenerbahce Win3%
BTTS25%
Over 2.580%