Aston Villavs
Borussia Dortmund
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.8
Aston Villa xG
Expected goals
0.4
Borussia Dortmund xG
32%
Both Teams to Score
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
14%
4–0
13%
2–0
11%
5–0
10%
1–0
6%
3–1
5%
Home
Aston Villa
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
4.9 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Borussia Dortmund
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.4
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Borussia Dortmund?
Aston Villa is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Aston Villa's current form?
Aston Villa have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 32%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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