Match Analysis

AS RomavsSporting CP

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
7%
90%
AS Roma winDrawSporting CP win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.80
2.28Avg goals scored2.36
2.91Avg goals conceded0.36
1–4–0Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

AS Roma xG

Expected goals

3.4

Sporting CP xG

38%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

13%

0–2

12%

0–4

11%

0–5

8%

0–1

7%

1–3

7%

Home

AS Roma

AS Roma

DDDWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.3 / 2.9

Last 5

1W 4D 0L

Away

Sporting CP

Sporting CP

DWDDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.4 / 0.4

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AS Roma vs Sporting CP?

Sporting CP is favored with a 90% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AS Roma's current form?

AS Roma have recorded 1W 4D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AS Roma Win3%
Draw7%
Sporting CP Win90%
BTTS38%
Over 2.575%