AS Romavs
Sporting CP
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.5
AS Roma xG
Expected goals
3.4
Sporting CP xG
38%
Both Teams to Score
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
13%
0–2
12%
0–4
11%
0–5
8%
0–1
7%
1–3
7%
Home
AS Roma
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.3 / 2.9
Last 5
1W 4D 0L
Away
Sporting CP
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.4 / 0.4
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win AS Roma vs Sporting CP?
Sporting CP is favored with a 90% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is AS Roma's current form?
AS Roma have recorded 1W 4D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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