Match Analysis

ArsenalvsLille

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

90%
7%
3%
Arsenal winDrawLille win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.40
2.28Avg goals scored0.72
0.00Avg goals conceded3.00
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.8

Arsenal xG

Expected goals

0.7

Lille xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

10%

4–0

10%

2–0

8%

3–1

7%

4–1

7%

5–0

7%

Home

Arsenal

Arsenal

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Lille

Lille

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.7 / 3.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Arsenal vs Lille?

Arsenal is favored with a 90% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Arsenal's current form?

Arsenal have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Arsenal Win90%
Draw7%
Lille Win3%
BTTS49%
Over 2.583%