Arsenalvs
Borussia Dortmund
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Arsenal xG
Expected goals
1.1
Borussia Dortmund xG
55%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
1–0
10%
2–1
10%
2–0
9%
0–1
7%
0–0
6%
Home
Arsenal
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.3 / 0.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Borussia Dortmund
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.4
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund?
Arsenal is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Arsenal's current form?
Arsenal have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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