AEK Athensvs
Real Madrid
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
AEK Athens xG
Expected goals
3.1
Real Madrid xG
69%
Both Teams to Score
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
8%
1–3
8%
0–2
6%
0–3
6%
1–4
6%
0–4
5%
Home
AEK Athens
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.9
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Away
Real Madrid
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
3.3 / 2.3
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win AEK Athens vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid is favored with a 74% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is AEK Athens's current form?
AEK Athens have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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