Match Analysis

AEK AthensvsGalatasaray

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

63%
21%
16%
AEK Athens winDrawGalatasaray win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.40
1.00Avg goals scored1.00
1.94Avg goals conceded3.64
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

AEK Athens xG

Expected goals

0.9

Galatasaray xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

11%

2–0

11%

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

AEK Athens

AEK Athens

DWWDW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.9

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Galatasaray

Galatasaray

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AEK Athens vs Galatasaray?

AEK Athens is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AEK Athens's current form?

AEK Athens have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AEK Athens Win63%
Draw21%
Galatasaray Win16%
BTTS51%
Over 2.555%