Match Analysis

AEK AthensvsAS Roma

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
21%
49%
AEK Athens winDrawAS Roma win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.40
1.00Avg goals scored2.28
1.94Avg goals conceded2.91
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)1–4–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

AEK Athens xG

Expected goals

2.2

AS Roma xG

71%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–1

8%

2–2

7%

1–3

6%

2–1

6%

0–1

5%

Home

AEK Athens

AEK Athens

DWWDW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.9

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

AS Roma

AS Roma

DDDWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.3 / 2.9

Last 5

1W 4D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AEK Athens vs AS Roma?

AS Roma is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AEK Athens's current form?

AEK Athens have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AEK Athens Win30%
Draw21%
AS Roma Win49%
BTTS71%
Over 2.573%