Match Analysis

VfB StuttgartvsBorussia Dortmund

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

20%
24%
56%
VfB Stuttgart winDrawBorussia Dortmund win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.20
1.58Avg goals scored2.14
1.47Avg goals conceded0.91
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

VfB Stuttgart xG

Expected goals

1.6

Borussia Dortmund xG

47%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

1–1

12%

0–2

11%

1–2

9%

0–0

8%

1–0

7%

Home

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?

Borussia Dortmund is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is VfB Stuttgart's current form?

VfB Stuttgart have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

VfB Stuttgart Win20%
Draw24%
Borussia Dortmund Win56%
BTTS47%
Over 2.546%