Match Analysis

TSG HoffenheimvsHamburg SV

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

64%
16%
20%
TSG Hoffenheim winDrawHamburg SV win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game0.80
1.79Avg goals scored1.29
2.63Avg goals conceded2.85
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.1

TSG Hoffenheim xG

Expected goals

1.8

Hamburg SV xG

80%

Both Teams to Score

87%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–1

7%

2–1

6%

2–2

6%

3–2

6%

4–1

5%

4–2

5%

Home

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.9

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburg SV?

TSG Hoffenheim is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is TSG Hoffenheim's current form?

TSG Hoffenheim have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 80%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

TSG Hoffenheim Win64%
Draw16%
Hamburg SV Win20%
BTTS80%
Over 2.587%