Match Analysis

TSG HoffenheimvsBayern Munich

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

5%
8%
87%
TSG Hoffenheim winDrawBayern Munich win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.20
1.79Avg goals scored3.14
2.63Avg goals conceded0.92
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

TSG Hoffenheim xG

Expected goals

4

Bayern Munich xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

88%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

7%

0–4

7%

1–3

7%

1–4

7%

0–5

6%

1–5

6%

Home

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

3.1 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayern Munich?

Bayern Munich is favored with a 87% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is TSG Hoffenheim's current form?

TSG Hoffenheim have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

TSG Hoffenheim Win5%
Draw8%
Bayern Munich Win87%
BTTS62%
Over 2.588%