Match Analysis

SV ElversbergvsMainz

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

34%
21%
45%
SV Elversberg winDrawMainz win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
1.28Avg goals scored2.73
1.45Avg goals conceded2.35
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

SV Elversberg xG

Expected goals

2.1

Mainz xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

6%

2–3

5%

Home

SV Elversberg

SV Elversberg

DDLWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Mainz

Mainz

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.7 / 2.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sv Elversberg vs Mainz?

Mainz is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sv Elversberg's current form?

Sv Elversberg have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

SV Elversberg Win34%
Draw21%
Mainz Win45%
BTTS73%
Over 2.575%