Match Analysis

SC FreiburgvsTSG Hoffenheim

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

90%
7%
3%
SC Freiburg winDrawTSG Hoffenheim win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game0.80
2.68Avg goals scored1.79
0.86Avg goals conceded2.63
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

SC Freiburg xG

Expected goals

0.8

TSG Hoffenheim xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

86%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

9%

4–0

9%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

4–1

7%

5–0

7%

Home

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

DWDWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.7 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win SC Freiburg vs TSG Hoffenheim?

SC Freiburg is favored with a 90% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is SC Freiburg's current form?

SC Freiburg have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

SC Freiburg Win90%
Draw7%
TSG Hoffenheim Win3%
BTTS54%
Over 2.586%