Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
Mainz xG
Expected goals
1.1
1. FC Union Berlin xG
65%
Both Teams to Score
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
7%
3–1
7%
4–0
7%
4–1
7%
5–1
6%
2–0
5%
Home
Mainz
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.7 / 2.4
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
1. FC Union Berlin
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
0.9 / 3.1
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Mainz vs 1. FC Union Berlin?
Mainz is favored with a 86% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Mainz's current form?
Mainz have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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