Match Analysis

Hamburg SVvsSchalke 04

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
35%
28%
Hamburg SV winDrawSchalke 04 win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.20
1.22Avg goals scored0.63
2.15Avg goals conceded1.17
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Hamburg SV xG

Expected goals

0.7

Schalke 04 xG

30%

Both Teams to Score

22%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

20%

1–0

18%

0–1

14%

1–1

13%

2–0

8%

2–1

6%

Home

Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Schalke 04

Schalke 04

DLDWD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Hamburg SV vs Schalke 04?

Hamburg SV is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Hamburg SV's current form?

Hamburg SV have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 22%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Hamburg SV Win37%
Draw35%
Schalke 04 Win28%
BTTS30%
Over 2.522%