Hamburg Sv vs Mainz
๐ฉ๐ช Bundesliga ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Hamburg SV xG
Expected goals
1.8
Mainz xG
63%
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1โ1
10%
1โ2
9%
0โ1
7%
0โ2
7%
2โ1
7%
1โ0
6%
Home
Hamburg SV
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.4 / 2.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Mainz
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head ยท Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Hamburg Sv vs Mainz?
Mainz is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Hamburg Sv's current form?
Hamburg Sv have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Bundesliga meetings, Hamburg Sv won 1, drew 1, and Mainz won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1โ1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.
โก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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