โšก Match Analysis

Hamburg Sv vs Mainz

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Bundesliga ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

34%
28%
38%
Hamburg SV winDrawMainz win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
1.44Avg goals scored1.64
1.98Avg goals conceded1.53
2โ€“1โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“1โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Hamburg SV xG

Expected goals

1.8

Mainz xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

10%

1โ€“2

9%

0โ€“1

7%

0โ€“2

7%

2โ€“1

7%

1โ€“0

6%

Home

Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Mainz

Mainz

WLWLD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 2 meetings

Hamburg Svall timeMainz
1W
1D
20 Feb 26
Mainz1โ€“1Hamburg SV
5 Oct 25
Hamburg SV4โ€“0Mainz

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Hamburg Sv vs Mainz?

Mainz is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Hamburg Sv's current form?

Hamburg Sv have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 Bundesliga meetings, Hamburg Sv won 1, drew 1, and Mainz won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Hamburg SV Win34%
Draw28%
Mainz Win38%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%

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