Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.5
FC Augsburg xG
Expected goals
2.5
Mainz xG
89%
Both Teams to Score
94%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–2
6%
2–2
5%
3–3
5%
4–2
5%
2–1
4%
2–3
4%
Home
FC Augsburg
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.5 / 1.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Mainz
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.7 / 2.4
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win FC Augsburg vs Mainz?
FC Augsburg is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is FC Augsburg's current form?
FC Augsburg have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 89%. Over 2.5 goals: 94%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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