Match Analysis

Borussia MönchengladbachvsMainz

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

15%
12%
73%
Borussia Mönchengladbach winDrawMainz win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game1.60
1.41Avg goals scored2.73
3.44Avg goals conceded2.35
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Borussia Mönchengladbach xG

Expected goals

4

Mainz xG

85%

Both Teams to Score

94%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–3

5%

1–4

5%

2–3

5%

2–4

5%

1–2

4%

1–5

4%

Home

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

1.4 / 3.4

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Mainz

Mainz

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.7 / 2.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Mainz?

Mainz is favored with a 73% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Borussia Mönchengladbach's current form?

Borussia Mönchengladbach have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (5% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 85%. Over 2.5 goals: 94%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Borussia Mönchengladbach Win15%
Draw12%
Mainz Win73%
BTTS85%
Over 2.594%