Match Analysis

Borussia MönchengladbachvsBorussia Dortmund

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

4%
7%
89%
Borussia Mönchengladbach winDrawBorussia Dortmund win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game2.20
1.41Avg goals scored2.14
3.44Avg goals conceded0.91
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Borussia Mönchengladbach xG

Expected goals

3.9

Borussia Dortmund xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

85%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

9%

0–4

9%

0–2

7%

0–5

7%

1–3

7%

1–4

7%

Home

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

1.4 / 3.4

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?

Borussia Dortmund is favored with a 89% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Borussia Mönchengladbach's current form?

Borussia Mönchengladbach have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Borussia Mönchengladbach Win4%
Draw7%
Borussia Dortmund Win89%
BTTS54%
Over 2.585%