Borussia Dortmundvs
Werder Bremen
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected goals
0.8
Werder Bremen xG
48%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
12%
2–0
12%
1–1
10%
2–1
10%
3–0
8%
0–0
6%
Home
Borussia Dortmund
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.6 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Werder Bremen
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.0 / 2.0
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
Borussia Dortmund is favored with a 66% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Borussia Dortmund's current form?
Borussia Dortmund have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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