Match Analysis

Borussia DortmundvsWerder Bremen

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

66%
21%
13%
Borussia Dortmund winDrawWerder Bremen win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.80
1.61Avg goals scored2.03
0.69Avg goals conceded1.96
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Borussia Dortmund xG

Expected goals

0.8

Werder Bremen xG

48%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

12%

2–0

12%

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

3–0

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

DLDWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.6 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

DDWDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?

Borussia Dortmund is favored with a 66% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Borussia Dortmund's current form?

Borussia Dortmund have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Borussia Dortmund Win66%
Draw21%
Werder Bremen Win13%
BTTS48%
Over 2.553%